Getting Started
A limit price is a plan, not a fill
A limit order states the price you can accept. It does not promise that the size, timing, or second leg will be available.
Category: Getting Started
Practical explanations of prices, orders, and settlement.
Getting Started
A hedge only works when the two payoffs line up
Opposite-looking positions can still leave risk when their dates, definitions, sources, or sizes do not match.
Getting Started
Ambiguous wording is a risk you can spot before the price moves
Before taking a side, test the rule against edge cases: timing, revisions, cancellations, and what happens when the named source is silent.
Getting Started
A payout is not the same as a quick settlement
An event can finish before the contract is resolved and funds are available. Price the settlement path, not only the headline outcome.
Getting Started
The market title is a shortcut; the rules are the contract
A short label can hide the cutoff, source, and exceptions that determine settlement. Expand the question before comparing prices.
Getting Started
A backtest can be clean and still miss the market
Historical outcomes can test a payoff idea, but realistic fills require the quotes, delays, costs, and skipped trades around it.
Getting Started
A viral post is a lead, not a market signal
Capture the original claim, check a primary source, and map it to a settlement rule before a fast timeline becomes a trading thesis.
Getting Started
EV, Bayes, Kelly: three tools that cannot rescue a bad estimate
Useful formulas still depend on inputs you can defend.
Getting Started
A copy bot’s feature list is not its track record
Separate convenience claims from performance evidence before connecting a wallet.
Getting Started
Six settings to understand before copying a wallet
A copy ratio is only one part of matching another trader's exposure.