Market Watch
The exit is a trade too
An on-screen gain is an estimate until you can sell, merge, or settle. The exit has its own price, size, timing, and risk.
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Market Watch
One cent of edge can disappear in the fee line
A quoted spread is gross. Fees, slippage, partial fills, and tied-up capital decide whether any edge remains after execution.
Getting Started
The market title is a shortcut; the rules are the contract
A short label can hide the cutoff, source, and exceptions that determine settlement. Expand the question before comparing prices.
Getting Started
A backtest can be clean and still miss the market
Historical outcomes can test a payoff idea, but realistic fills require the quotes, delays, costs, and skipped trades around it.
Market Watch
Displayed depth is a measurement, not a promise
A large number on an order book is a snapshot. The fill you can actually get depends on timing, size, and what remains when…
Market Watch
The event can end before the market is ready to settle
An event cutoff and a settlement timestamp are separate clocks. Map both before treating a position as finished.
Getting Started
A viral post is a lead, not a market signal
Capture the original claim, check a primary source, and map it to a settlement rule before a fast timeline becomes a trading thesis.
Market Watch
An air-quality market is only as clear as its station and threshold
Smoke reports are broad context. Settlement can turn on one pollutant, one station, one time window, and a published threshold.