An AI market assistant needs a source trail

Ask an AI assistant what a contract means and it can produce a smooth explanation. The next question should be simple: where did that answer come from?

A market knowledge tool can be helpful without being a trading oracle. Its strongest job is making the relevant material easier to inspect.

Make every claim traceable

A good answer should identify the market, quote the relevant rule briefly, link the source, and say when it was retrieved. It should separate its own interpretation from the text it found.

If two sources conflict, the tool should show the disagreement. Quietly choosing the more convenient answer hides the exact detail a reader needs.

Keep commercial claims separate

A partnership claim should be supported by a dated statement from the parties involved. A referral link or a familiar logo is not proof of an official relationship.

Do the same with product capabilities. Distinguish a demo, a beta feature, and a generally available service.

Test the unglamorous questions

Give the assistant an expired market, two similarly named events, and a rule with an exception. See whether it notices the differences or fills the gaps with fluent prose.

The product becomes valuable when it reduces the time needed to verify an answer. If it only makes an uncertain answer sound certain, the interface is doing the wrong job.

Further reading: Prices and order books · Resolution rules · Current fees.

Explore the markets: Open Polymarket (referral link).

A note on risk

Prices can change and positions can lose their full value. Examples are educational, not promises of returns.