Deep Dives
A weather bot with a high win rate still needs a loss column
Cheap entries and frequent wins tell only part of a weather strategy's story.
Category: Deep Dives
Detailed studies of contracts, data, and trading claims.
Deep Dives
Your weather app and the contract may watch different thermometers
Station choice, local dates, and observation rules can outweigh a clever temperature forecast.
Deep Dives
A tiny market can make a big order look clever
Thin depth and a short clock can make price moves look more meaningful than they are.
Deep Dives
Options and binary markets: match the payoff first
A shared price target does not make two contracts interchangeable.